Fort McMurray, ALTA: Sept. 23, 2010- Suncor plant near Fort McMurray, Alberta, September 23, 2010. (Bruce Edwards/Edmonton Journal)

The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO) is projected to declare fiscal fourth quarter financial results right before the stock market’s official open on February 14, 2017. The stock lost about -2 percent in price since last results when it was at $42.18 a share. Based on the most relevant past-periods data, there is an 53.57 percent probability for this firm’s share price to go down following next quarterly results. Earnings reaction history tells us that the equity price moved down 15 times out of last 28 reported quarters. It has beaten earnings-per-share estimates 83% of the time in its last 12 earnings reports. It fell short of earnings estimates on 0 occasions, and it has met expectations 2 times.

Here’s how traders responded to KO earnings announcements over the past few quarters.

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) Earnings Surprises & Reaction

Given its history, the average earnings announcement surprise was 2.63 percent over the past four quarters. Back on October 26, 2016, it posted earnings per-share earnings at $0.49 which beat the consensus $0.48 projection (positive surprise of2.08%. For the quarter, revenue came in at 10.63B versus consensus estimate of 10.51B. The stock dropped -0.24 percent the session following the earnings reports were released, and on 7th day price change was -1 percent.

On July 27, 2016, it reported earnings at $0.6 a share compared with the consensus estimate of $0.58 per share (positive surprise of 3.45%). Revenue of 11.52B for that quarter was below the $11.64B analysts had expected. The stock retreated -3.31% the day following the earnings announcement, and on 7th day price change was -3.01%.

On April 20, 2016, it recorded $0.45 a share in earnings which topped the consensus estimate of $0.44 (positive surprise of 2.27%). Revenue for the quarter was $10.33B while analysts called for revenues to be $10.29B. The stock dropped -4.77% the day following the earnings data was made public, and on 7th day price change was -4.44%.

On February 9, 2016, it announced earnings per share at $0.38 versus the consensus estimate of $0.37 per share (positive surprise of 2.7%). That came on revenues of $10.01B for that period. Analysts had expected $9.91B in revenue.

The Coca-Cola Company Earnings Estimates

As Q4 earnings announcement date approaches, Wall Street is expecting earnings per share of $0.46. The analysts’ present consensus range is $0.44-$0.49 for EPS. The market consensus range for revenue is between $7.35B and $8.97B, with an average of $8.51B.

The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO) last ended at $41.04, sending the company’s market cap near $177B. The consensus 12-month price target from analysts covering the stock is $45.19. The share price has declined -10.79% from its top level in 52 weeks and advanced -1.01% this year. It recently traded in a range of $40.86-$41.44 at a volume of 19670962 shares. The recent trading ended with the price nearly -1.82 lower for the last 5 trading days, rebounding 3.98% from its 52-week low.