Earnings Preview: Old Republic International Corporation (NYSE:ORI) moved down 15 times out of last 28 quarters

Earnings Preview: Old Republic International Corporation (NYSE:ORI) moved down 15 times out of last 28 quarters

Earnings Preview: Old Republic International Corporation (NYSE:ORI) moved down 15 times out of last 28 quarters

Old Republic International Corporation (NYSE:ORI) is projected to declare fiscal first quarter financial results right before the stock market’s official open on April 27, 2017. The stock added about 3.9 percent in price since last results when it was at $19.57 a share. Based on the most relevant past-periods data, there is an 53.57 percent probability for this firm’s share price to go down following next quarterly results. Earnings reaction history tells us that the equity price moved down 15 times out of last 28 reported quarters. It has beaten earnings-per-share estimates 58.% of the time in its last 12 earnings reports. It fell short of earnings estimates on 4 occasions, and it has met expectations 1 time.

Here’s how traders responded to ORI earnings announcements over the past few quarters.

Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) Earnings Surprises & Reaction

Given its history, the average earnings announcement surprise was 12.71 percent over the past four quarters. Back on January 26, 2017, it posted earnings per-share earnings at $0.43 which beat the consensus $0.3 projection (positive surprise of43.33%. For the quarter, revenue came in at 1.53B versus consensus estimate of 1.53B. The stock gained 5.42 percent the session following the earnings reports were released, and on 7th day price change was 0 percent.

On October 27, 2016, it reported earnings at $0.37 a share compared with the consensus estimate of $0.4 per share (negative surprise of -7.5%). Revenue of 1.49B for that quarter was below the $1.57B analysts had expected. The stock retreated -9.75% the day following the earnings announcement, and on 7th day price change was -9.47%.

On July 28, 2016, it recorded $0.34 a share in earnings which missed the consensus estimate of $0.35 (negative surprise of -2.86%). Revenue for the quarter was $1.44B while analysts called for revenues to be $1.44B. The stock dropped -0.16% the day following the earnings data was made public, and on 7th day price change was -1.66%.

On April 28, 2016, it announced earnings per share at $0.33 versus the consensus estimate of $0.28 per share (positive surprise of 17.86%). That came on revenues of $1.41B for that period. Analysts had expected $1.35B in revenue.

Old Republic International Corporation Earnings Estimates

As Q1 earnings announcement date approaches, Wall Street is expecting earnings per share of $0.32. The analysts’ present consensus range is $0.32-$0.32 for EPS. The market consensus range for revenue is between $1.34B and $1.34B, with an average of $1.34B.

Old Republic International Corporation (NYSE:ORI) last ended at $20.23, sending the company’s market cap near $5.24B. The consensus 12-month price target from analysts covering the stock is $23. The share price has declined -3.65% from its top level in 52 weeks and dropped 7.45% this year. It recently traded in a range of $20.17-$20.38 at a volume of 1013865 shares. The recent trading ended with the price nearly -1.08 lower for the last 5 trading days, rebounding 24.97% from its 52-week low.

 

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