Earnings Preview: Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL) moved down 18 times out of last 28 quarters

Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL) is projected to declare fiscal first quarter financial results right before the stock market’s official open on April 28, 2017. The stock added about 8.8 percent in price since last results when it was at $68.24 a share. Based on the most relevant past-periods data, there is an 64.29 percent probability for this firm’s share price to go down following next quarterly results. Earnings reaction history tells us that the equity price moved down 18 times out of last 28 reported quarters. It has beaten earnings-per-share estimates 33% of the time in its last 12 earnings reports. It fell short of earnings estimates on 1 occasions, and it has met expectations 7 times.

Here’s how traders responded to CL earnings announcements over the past few quarters.

Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Earnings Surprises & Reaction

Given its history, the average earnings announcement surprise was 0.36 percent over the past four quarters. Back on January 27, 2017, it posted earnings per-share earnings at $0.75 which came in line with the consensus $0.75 projection (no surprise). For the quarter, revenue came in at 3.72B versus consensus estimate of 3.87B. The stock dropped -5.22 percent the session following the earnings reports were released, and on 7th day price change was -3.75 percent.

On October 27, 2016, it reported earnings at $0.73 a share compared with the consensus estimate of $0.73 per share (negative surprise of 0%). Revenue of 3.87B for that quarter was below the $3.94B analysts had expected. The stock retreated -0.97% the day following the earnings announcement, and on 7th day price change was -0.11%.

On July 28, 2016, it recorded $0.7 a share in earnings which topped the consensus estimate of $0.69 (positive surprise of 1.45%). Revenue for the quarter was $3.85B while analysts called for revenues to be $3.86B. The stock dropped -0.04% the day following the earnings data was made public, and on 7th day price change was 1.08%.

On April 28, 2016, it announced earnings per share at $0.63 versus the consensus estimate of $0.63 per share (negative surprise of 0%). That came on revenues of $3.76B for that period. Analysts had expected $3.76B in revenue.

Colgate-Palmolive Company Earnings Estimates

As Q1 earnings announcement date approaches, Wall Street is expecting earnings per share of $0.66. The analysts’ present consensus range is $0.64-$0.67 for EPS. The market consensus range for revenue is between $3.71B and $3.86B, with an average of $3.79B.

Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL) last ended at $73.9, sending the company’s market cap near $65.24B. The consensus 12-month price target from analysts covering the stock is $72.67. The share price has declined -1.58% from its top level in 52 weeks and dropped 13.58% this year. It recently traded in a range of $73.75-$74.27 at a volume of 2885202 shares. The recent trading ended with the price nearly 0.15 higher for the last 5 trading days, rebounding 16.51% from its 52-week low.

 

Elbert Edwards: