Earnings Reaction History: Avnet, Inc. (NYSE:AVT) has a 59.26% chance to decline

Avnet, Inc. (NYSE:AVT) is projected to declare fiscal third quarter financial results right before the stock market’s official open on April 27, 2017. The stock lost about -4.7 percent in price since last results when it was at $47.61 a share. Based on the most relevant past-periods data, there is an 59.26 percent probability for this firm’s share price to go down following next quarterly results. Earnings reaction history tells us that the equity price moved down 16 times out of last 27 reported quarters. It has beaten earnings-per-share estimates 75% of the time in its last 12 earnings reports. It fell short of earnings estimates on 3 occasions, and it has met expectations 0 time.

Here’s how traders responded to AVT earnings announcements over the past few quarters.

Avnet, Inc. (AVT) Earnings Surprises & Reaction

Given its history, the average earnings announcement surprise was 2.61 percent over the past four quarters. Back on January 26, 2017, it posted earnings per-share earnings at $0.77 which beat the consensus $0.75 projection (positive surprise of2.67%. For the quarter, revenue came in at 4.27B versus consensus estimate of 4.38B. The stock dropped -2.69 percent the session following the earnings reports were released, and on 7th day price change was 0 percent.

On October 27, 2016, it reported earnings at $0.91 a share compared with the consensus estimate of $0.9 per share (positive surprise of 1.11%). Revenue of 6.04B for that quarter was below the $6.11B analysts had expected. The stock retreated -0.36% the day following the earnings announcement, and on 7th day price change was -2.42%.

On August 10, 2016, it recorded $0.86 a share in earnings which topped the consensus estimate of $0.83 (positive surprise of 3.61%). Revenue for the quarter was $6.23B while analysts called for revenues to be $6.21B. The stock dropped -1.19% the day following the earnings data was made public, and on 7th day price change was -0.27%.

On April 28, 2016, it announced earnings per share at $1.01 versus the consensus estimate of $0.98 per share (positive surprise of 3.06%). That came on revenues of $6.17B for that period. Analysts had expected $6.3B in revenue.

Avnet, Inc. Earnings Estimates

As Q3 earnings announcement date approaches, Wall Street is expecting earnings per share of $0.95. The analysts’ present consensus range is $0.87-$1.02 for EPS. The market consensus range for revenue is between $4.45B and $4.65B, with an average of $4.55B.

Avnet, Inc. (NYSE:AVT) last ended at $45.53, sending the company’s market cap near $5.87B. The consensus 12-month price target from analysts covering the stock is $47.94. The share price has declined -11.24% from its top level in 52 weeks and advanced -3.99% this year. It recently traded in a range of $45.17-$45.68 at a volume of 1884086 shares. The recent trading ended with the price nearly -0.69 lower for the last 5 trading days, rebounding 20.73% from its 52-week low.